Global Daily Insight: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – M1440 Trend Analysis

Global Daily Insight: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – M1440 Trend Analysis

Anchored on the Daily (M1440) with EMA Zones, DAATS, and MACD(15,25,8) August 31, 2025

🔹 Trade Recap

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to trade above the Long-Term Trend Zone (EMA141–200), confirming a macro bullish structure. However, recent price action has drifted into the Correction Zone (EMA51–89) and Trend Reassessment Zone (EMA90–140), signaling momentum loss. Despite the pullback, the DAATS trailing stop has not been violated, maintaining the long bias for trend followers.

🔹 Detailed Indicator Review

  • EMA Zones: Price remains above the EMA200 (structural bullish backbone) but is testing the Correction/Reassessment layers.
  • DAATS (Dynamic ATR Trailing Stop): Still intact below price; compression visible as volatility contracts.
  • MACD (15,25,8): Negative histogram and flattening lines indicate weakening bullish momentum, but no confirmed structural reversal.
  • ADX (14): Reading near 19 suggests low trend strength, consistent with consolidation.
  • RSI (14): Neutral range, avoiding oversold/overbought extremes.
  • ATR (25→256): ATR values expand with timeframe, highlighting that macro volatility remains elevated.

🔹 Multi-Timeframe Confirmation

M1440 (Daily Anchor): Trend backbone (EMA25 vs EMA200) remains bullish.
M240 (4H): Trading within Value/Correction zones; momentum weak but aligned with the daily backbone.
M60 (Hourly): Intraday swings lack conviction; traders should align only with the Daily anchor.

This reinforces the law of multiple timeframe analysis: the lower frames are respecting the higher structure, albeit with reduced strength.

🔹 Global Potential Trading Plan

  • Bias: Maintain long bias while price remains above EMA200.
  • Entry Zone: Pullbacks into Value/Correction zones (EMAs 26–89) with intraday confirmation.
  • Stop-Loss: Use DAATS trailing stop (current compression-adjusted setting).
  • Pyramiding: Defer additional pyramids until EMA50 vs EMA89 re-align upward.
  • Exit Trigger: Full structural exit only if EMA25 crosses below EMA200 with MACD confirmation.

🔹 Key Support & Resistance

  • Immediate Resistance: $112,600 (recent swing high)
  • Macro Resistance: $118,200 (upper August high)
  • Immediate Support: $106,300 (Correction Zone lower boundary)
  • Macro Support: $100,000 (psychological & Long-Term Zone buffer)

Global Daily Insight: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – M1440 Correction Phase Playbook

Re-entry strategy as Bitcoin stabilizes in the Correction Zone (EMA51–89) September 1, 2025

🔹 Market Recap

Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, trading inside the EMA51–89 Correction Zone on the M1440 anchor chart. After surging through the Momentum and Value Zones earlier in the trend, price has pulled back to test deeper support. Despite short-term weakness, the EMA25 remains above EMA200, confirming that the broader bullish structure is intact. This correction offers an opportunity to reposition for continuation, provided momentum confirms the shift.

🔹 Indicator Review

  • EMA Zones: Price sits in the Correction Zone (EMA51–89), with EMA25 still above EMA200. Structural bullish bias remains.
  • MACD (15,25,8): Negative histogram, but contracting. Fast and slow lines are flattening, suggesting momentum exhaustion.
  • ADX(14) & DMI: ADX at ~18 indicates weak trend strength. +DMI and -DMI are converging, showing indecision.
  • RSI(14): 40–45 range, consistent with correction, not oversold.
  • Stochastic (14,3,3): Oversold and beginning to turn upward — early re-entry signal.
  • CCI(14): Deeply negative, flattening — correction may be nearing completion.
  • Force Index & Bull/Bear Power: Bear Power is declining while Bull Power stabilizes, signaling fading bearish momentum.
  • ATR Landscape: ATR(25–200) ranges confirm wide volatility cloud. DAATS trailing remains beneath price, maintaining bullish bias.

🔹 Multi-Timeframe Confirmation

While the M1440 (Daily) anchor highlights a corrective pullback, shorter frames (M60, M240) show early stabilization attempts. However, until MACD flips positive and ADX strengthens above 20, the market remains in consolidation mode. Aligning entries on M60 with M1440 structural confirmation provides the best balance of precision and context.

🔹 Global Potential Trading Plan

  1. Bias: Bullish, anchored by EMA25 > EMA200.
  2. Entry Zone: Add positions at/near EMA89 support when confirmed by:
    • Stochastic crossover upward from oversold
    • MACD histogram flipping positive
    • Fractal lows forming near EMA89
  3. Stop-Loss: Below EMA140 (Reassessment Zone) or DAATS trailing stop. Aligns with Nine Laws principle of Exit Only on Death (EOD).
  4. Profit Targets:
    • Initial: Value Zone (EMA26–50)
    • Secondary: Transition → Momentum Zones if bullish continuation resumes
  5. Scaling:
    • Partial entry at EMA89 support
    • Add-on if MACD confirms bullish momentum
    • Reduce size if ADX fails to rise above 20

Minimum Risk to Reward Ratio: 3

🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels

  • Immediate Support: EMA89 zone (~$108,000–109,000)
  • Secondary Support: EMA140 (~$102,000)
  • Immediate Resistance: EMA50 (~$112,000)
  • Secondary Resistance: EMA25 (~$115,000)

About the Author

Dr. Glen Brown is President & CEO of Global Accountancy Institute, Inc. and Global Financial Engineering, Inc. He is the creator of the Global Algorithmic Trading Software (GATS), the Nine Laws Framework, and a pioneer of Transformative Rationalism — merging financial engineering with quantum-inspired philosophy.

Business Model Clarification

Global Accountancy Institute, Inc. and Global Financial Engineering, Inc. operate under a closed proprietary model. We trade our own capital and do not manage external client funds.

Risk Disclaimer

Trading financial markets carries significant risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This insight is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.



Leave a Reply