Scenario:
On 30 September 2023, AcmeTech acquires 100% of the equity of CyberSystems Ltd. The purchase consideration consists of:
- An immediate cash payment of \$8,500,000 on the acquisition date.
- A contingent payment of \$2,000,000 payable on 30 September 2024 if CyberSystems’ EBITDA margin exceeds 20% for the year ended 31 December 2023.
- A further contingent payment of \$2,500,000 payable on 30 September 2025 if CyberSystems’ EBITDA margin exceeds 22% for the year ended 31 December 2024.
All indicators suggest these targets will be met. AcmeTech uses a discount rate of 8% per annum for present value calculations.
Required: Calculate the fair value of the investment in CyberSystems Ltd. on 30 September 2023, by determining the present value of each element of consideration and summing them.
Solution: Valuation on 30 September 2023
Scenario recap: AcmeTech acquires 100% of CyberSystems Ltd. on 30 Sep 2023. Consideration:
- Immediate cash payment: \$8,500,000
- Contingent payment of \$2,000,000 on 30 Sep 2024 (if 2023 EBITDA margin >20%)
- Contingent payment of \$2,500,000 on 30 Sep 2025 (if 2024 EBITDA margin >22%)
Discount rate = 8% p.a.
1. Present Value of Each Element
| Payment date | Amount (\$) | Timing (years) | Discount factor (1 / (1.08)n) | Present value (\$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2023 (today) | 8,500,000 | 0 | 1.0000 | 8,500,000 |
| 30 Sep 2024 | 2,000,000 | 1.0 | 0.925926 | 1,851,852 |
| 30 Sep 2025 | 2,500,000 | 2.0 | 0.857339 | 2,143,348 |
| Total PV of consideration | 12,495,200 | |||
2. Calculation Details
- Discount factor for 1 year at 8%: 1 ÷ 1.08 = 0.925926
- Discount factor for 2 years at 8%: 1 ÷ (1.08)2 = 0.857339
- PV of 2024 contingent payment: 2,000,000 × 0.925926 = 1,851,852
- PV of 2025 contingent payment: 2,500,000 × 0.857339 = 2,143,348
- Immediate payment is not discounted (PV = 8,500,000)
3. Fair Value of Investment
| Immediate payment | 8,500,000 |
| PV of contingent payments | 3,995,200 |
| Total fair value of consideration | 12,495,200 |
4. Key Assumptions
- Both contingencies are considered probable and fully recognized at fair value.
- Payments occur exactly 1 and 2 years after acquisition.
- Discount rate of 8% p.a. reflects AcmeTech’s cost of capital.
- No further adjustments (e.g., credit risk, timing differences).
Strategic Approach for Valuing Consideration with Contingent Elements
When you’re faced with an acquisition question that includes contingent consideration (earn-outs, performance payments, etc.), use this step-by-step method to ensure you capture every element correctly and arrive at the fair-value measurement on the acquisition date.
- Identify All Consideration Elements
List every cash, share or other payment promised to the seller, including:- Fixed consideration (paid on closing).
- Contingent payments (linked to future performance, time, regulatory approvals, etc.).
- Assess Probability of Payment
Under IFRS 3 those contingent amounts that are probable must be measured at fair value.- If payment is virtually certain, include 100%.
- If remote, measure at nil.
- If in-between, estimate based on management’s best forecast or a weighted-probability model.
- Determine Timing (Cash‐flow Dates)
For each contingent payment, pinpoint the exact date (or expected timing) when it will be paid:- One year, two years, milestone dates, etc.
- Select Discount Rate
Choose the appropriate rate reflecting the acquirer’s credit risk and the time value of money (often the acquirer’s post-tax cost of debt or WACC).- Use the same rate for all contingent flows unless specific risk premiums differ materially.
- Calculate Discount Factors
For each payment at time years, compute:
DFn = 1 / (1 + r)n- r = discount rate (e.g. 7% → DF1 ≈ 0.935; DF2 ≈ 0.873).
- Compute Present Values
Multiply each payment by its discount factor:
PVi = Paymenti × DFi- Do this for the fixed (n=0) and each contingent payment.
- Sum to Total Fair Value
Add the PVs of all elements to get the total consideration to be recognized:
Total FV = Σ PVi - Record Initial Measurement
On consolidation date:Dr Investment in Subsidiary Total FV Cr Cash / Payables Fixed payment Cr Contingent consideration liab. Contingent PVAdjust as needed if the contingent is classified as equity under IFRS 3. - Disclose Key Judgments
In your IFRS 3 note, explain:- How you assessed probability.
- The discount rate used.
- Timing assumptions.
IFRS References
- IFRS 3 paras B73–B78: Fair value measurement of contingent consideration.
- IFRS 13 para B93–B98: Valuation techniques and discounting.